 &MODEL
 NOPT    =           1,
 NLIST   =           0,
 NSTEP   =       20000,
 EPSI    =  1.000000000000000E-007,
 WGHT    =   1.00000000000000     ,
 NVAX    =          33,
 NALT    =           3,
 NDV     =           3,
 NSV     =           1,           7,           6, 7*0,
 NGV     =           4,
 IBETA   =           1,
 NCON    =           0,
 NSIGMA  =           0,
 NLAM    =           1,
 NPRINT  =           0,
 NELAST  =           1,
 NMRS    =           1,
 NRES    =           0,
 NCOR    =           0,
 NSCALE  =           0,
 NREAD   =         286,
 NPRED   =           0,
 NUMVT   =           2,
 NAMEVT  = BC1       ,
 NAMEDEP = S(i)      
 /




LOGIT            


 alternative  matrix of independent variables

 AIR          1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  32  33  12  15

 RAIL         0   1  17  19  20  21  22  23   0   0   0   0   0   0  30  31   7  10

 CAR          0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  17  19  20  21  22  23  28  29   2   0


 parameter associated with each column above

 beta         1   2   3   4   5   6   7   8   9  10  11  12  13  14  15  16  17  18

 lambda       0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1


 box-cox transformations

 lambda   type    initial value

   1    estimated     1.000




 no. variable     type      minimum        mean       maximum     std-error   null obs.  scal.factor

 alternative : AIR       

 observed share :
   1  AIR                 0.10182D-01  0.11067D+00  0.77350D+00  0.13487D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
   1  CONSTANT            0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.00000D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  32  PRICE-A   network   0.96379D+00  0.12609D+01  0.20952D+01  0.25390D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  33  SPEED-A   network   0.11970D+01  0.19196D+01  0.32697D+01  0.43648D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  12  DIST-A    network   0.20706D+03  0.52761D+03  0.97281D+03  0.17203D+03       0     0.10000D+01
  15  FREQ-A    network   0.10000D+01  0.37633D+02  0.10300D+03  0.29202D+02       0     0.10000D+01

 alternative : RAIL      

 observed share :
   2  RAIL                0.10797D-01  0.22279D+00  0.63843D+00  0.18276D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
   1  CONSTANT            0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.00000D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  17  POP0014   soc.eco.  0.11209D+00  0.13325D+00  0.16368D+00  0.98522D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  19  POP5064   soc.eco.  0.14997D+00  0.17201D+00  0.19526D+00  0.91300D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  20  POPMALE   soc.eco.  0.35708D+00  0.47190D+00  0.49078D+00  0.89897D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  21  TOTEMPL   soc.eco.  0.24591D+00  0.39868D+00  0.68230D+00  0.73026D-01       0     0.10000D+01
  22  BUSINESS  soc.eco.  0.20270D-01  0.30074D+00  0.67615D+00  0.12579D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  23  PRIVATE   soc.eco.  0.20040D+00  0.49988D+00  0.77455D+00  0.12203D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  30  PRICE-R   network   0.63543D+00  0.64740D+00  0.66785D+00  0.65634D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  31  SPEED-R   network   0.91183D+00  0.13991D+01  0.17563D+01  0.18727D+00       0     0.10000D+01
   7  DIST-R    network   0.21400D+03  0.51426D+03  0.11370D+04  0.17722D+03       0     0.10000D+01
  10  FREQ-R    network   0.60000D+02  0.71329D+02  0.10000D+03  0.18054D+02       0     0.10000D+01

 alternative : CAR       

 observed share :
   3  CAR                 0.18184D+00  0.66654D+00  0.97521D+00  0.21477D+00       0     0.10000D+01
 independent variables :
  17  POP0014   soc.eco.  0.11209D+00  0.13325D+00  0.16368D+00  0.98522D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  19  POP5064   soc.eco.  0.14997D+00  0.17201D+00  0.19526D+00  0.91300D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  20  POPMALE   soc.eco.  0.35708D+00  0.47190D+00  0.49078D+00  0.89897D-02       0     0.10000D+01
  21  TOTEMPL   soc.eco.  0.24591D+00  0.39868D+00  0.68230D+00  0.73026D-01       0     0.10000D+01
  22  BUSINESS  soc.eco.  0.20270D-01  0.30074D+00  0.67615D+00  0.12579D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  23  PRIVATE   soc.eco.  0.20040D+00  0.49988D+00  0.77455D+00  0.12203D+00       0     0.10000D+01
  28  PRICE-C   network   0.67333D+00  0.67348D+00  0.67366D+00  0.61504D-04       0     0.10000D+01
  29  SPEED-C   network   0.12569D+01  0.15375D+01  0.16819D+01  0.83423D-01       0     0.10000D+01
   2  DIST-C    network   0.19200D+03  0.45669D+03  0.94700D+03  0.15401D+03       0     0.10000D+01



 number of observations per alternative :

 - read                     286

 - dropped                    0

 - used in estimation       286

 - used in simulation         0

 number of observations available
 for estimation in each alternative :

  1= 286  2= 286  3= 286



 No constraints on the elements of SIGMA.
 All the elements are estimated.




initialization cards for control routine follow - -  id card - no. parameters , no. steps , step size 
minimization tolerance - starting values of parameters - relative uncertainties of parameters (error estimates) -  
and starting direction  (relative parameter increments for 1st step)
identification line
        19     20000   0.1D+01   0.1D-06
  0.19376D+02 -0.12738D+01 -0.43482D+02  0.55869D+02  0.37350D+02  0.32465D+01 -0.65178D+01 -0.65772D+00  0.11781D+02  0.59766D+02
  0.19228D+02  0.48350D+00 -0.47989D+01  0.27481D+01 -0.18229D+01  0.55640D+00 -0.16123D-02  0.79441D-02  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01  0.10000D+01
  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00
  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00  0.00000D+00

first entry to fcn , parameters of current step follow - - f,x(i)
   0.7101993872D+03  0.19376D+02 -0.12738D+01 -0.43482D+02  0.55869D+02  0.37350D+02  0.32465D+01 -0.65178D+01 -0.65772D+00
                     0.11781D+02  0.59766D+02  0.19228D+02  0.48350D+00 -0.47989D+01  0.27481D+01 -0.18229D+01  0.55640D+00
                    -0.16123D-02  0.79441D-02  0.10000D+01


the function (fcn) has not improved by    0.10000D-06 after 3 steps which include a minimum - - -


therefore the run has been terminated
   0.7033943673D+03  0.19705D+02 -0.44096D+00 -0.43266D+02  0.50724D+02  0.38053D+02  0.41425D+01 -0.64938D+01  0.86887D+00
                     0.11385D+02  0.55730D+02  0.20972D+02  0.18281D+01 -0.48380D+01  0.40280D+01 -0.19888D+00  0.96326D-01
                    -0.15837D-11  0.49662D-07  0.38807D+01


the lowest value of the function (fcn) was   0.7033943673D+03 for entry  540 - - x(i) follows
  0.19705D+02 -0.44096D+00 -0.43266D+02  0.50724D+02  0.38053D+02  0.41425D+01 -0.64938D+01  0.86887D+00  0.11385D+02  0.55730D+02
  0.20972D+02  0.18281D+01 -0.48380D+01  0.40280D+01 -0.19888D+00  0.96326D-01 -0.15837D-11  0.49662D-07  0.38807D+01



run statistics follow - -

 nfcn=  540 nst=  195




LOGIT            


 variable  type lambda    parameter      std.error          t-stat     gradient


 alternative  1 : AIR       

 CONSTANT  spec   0    0.1970515D+02  0.3531443D+01         5.5799  0.1608913D-04
                                      0.3469737D+01         5.6791

 PRICE-A   gene   1   -0.1988838D+00  0.1251572D+00        -1.5891  0.4565329D-05
                                      0.8068206D-01        -2.4650

 SPEED-A   gene   1    0.9632615D-01  0.9635576D-01         0.9997  0.1305798D-03
                                      0.1684766D-01         5.7175

 DIST-A    gene   1   -0.1583749D-11  0.1311765D-10        -0.1207 -0.5415958D+06
                                      0.2736622D-11        -0.5787

 FREQ-A    gene   1    0.4966163D-07  0.2464351D-06         0.2015  0.1840892D+03
                                      0.7446236D-08         6.6694


 alternative  2 : RAIL      

 CONSTANT  spec   0   -0.4409578D+00  0.3442617D+01        -0.1281 -0.2968801D-06
                                      0.3438015D+01        -0.1283

 POP0014   spec   0   -0.4326629D+02  0.9304839D+01        -4.6499 -0.1314079D-06
                                      0.9292352D+01        -4.6561

 POP5064   spec   0    0.5072363D+02  0.9441989D+01         5.3721  0.3565617D-08
                                      0.9138044D+01         5.5508

 POPMALE   spec   0    0.3805333D+02  0.7489509D+01         5.0809 -0.1367679D-06
                                      0.7475641D+01         5.0903

 TOTEMPL   spec   0    0.4142457D+01  0.1260178D+01         3.2872  0.4504263D-06
                                      0.1259998D+01         3.2877

 BUSINESS  spec   0   -0.6493844D+01  0.6463458D+00       -10.0470  0.1764573D-05
                                      0.6461598D+00       -10.0499

 PRIVATE   spec   0    0.8688683D+00  0.6631297D+00         1.3103  0.6582531D-06
                                      0.6369818D+00         1.3640

 PRICE-R   gene   1   -0.1988838D+00  0.1251572D+00        -1.5891  0.4565329D-05
                                      0.8068206D-01        -2.4650

 SPEED-R   gene   1    0.9632615D-01  0.9635576D-01         0.9997  0.1305798D-03
                                      0.1684766D-01         5.7175

 DIST-R    gene   1   -0.1583749D-11  0.1311765D-10        -0.1207 -0.5415958D+06
                                      0.2736622D-11        -0.5787

 FREQ-R    gene   1    0.4966163D-07  0.2464351D-06         0.2015  0.1840892D+03
                                      0.7446236D-08         6.6694


 alternative  3 : CAR       

 POP0014   spec   0    0.1138519D+02  0.7724991D+01         1.4738 -0.1616695D-05
                                      0.7629685D+01         1.4922

 POP5064   spec   0    0.5573043D+02  0.7847639D+01         7.1016 -0.2928469D-05
                                      0.7158863D+01         7.7848

 POPMALE   spec   0    0.2097227D+02  0.5986460D+01         3.5033 -0.7425082D-05
                                      0.5933692D+01         3.5344

 TOTEMPL   spec   0    0.1828097D+01  0.1009008D+01         1.8118 -0.8744603D-05
                                      0.1005834D+01         1.8175

 BUSINESS  spec   0   -0.4838032D+01  0.5131246D+00        -9.4286 -0.7214024D-05
                                      0.5130596D+00        -9.4298

 PRIVATE   spec   0    0.4027968D+01  0.5288513D+00         7.6164 -0.9137525D-05
                                      0.5101673D+00         7.8954

 PRICE-C   gene   1   -0.1988838D+00  0.1251572D+00        -1.5891  0.4565329D-05
                                      0.8068206D-01        -2.4650

 SPEED-C   gene   1    0.9632615D-01  0.9635576D-01         0.9997  0.1305798D-03
                                      0.1684766D-01         5.7175

 DIST-C    gene   1   -0.1583749D-11  0.1311765D-10        -0.1207 -0.5415958D+06
                                      0.2736622D-11        -0.5787


 box-cox transformations


 lambda 1   estimated  0.3880712D+01  0.1133840D+01         3.4226  0.5478350D-04
                                                            2.5407




 log likelihood at convergence =    -703.3944

 mean share  observed  estimated  rho-squared

   AIR       0.1107    0.0956     0.6312

   RAIL      0.2228    0.2000     0.5153

   CAR       0.6665    0.7043     0.6125

   overall                        0.5828

 number of observations =     286

 number of alternatives =       3

 number of parameters   =      19




at the sample means of x :

   -elasticity

   -change in S(i) relative to percent change in x(j,k)

   -derivative of S(i) with respect to x(j,k)

 ====================================================

 share of :              AIR       RAIL      CAR       

 ====================================================

 AIR         CONSTANT  0.185D+02 -0.160D+01 -0.116D+01
                         1.1631   -0.2690   -0.8941
                         1.1631   -0.2690   -0.8941

             PRICE-A  -0.458D+00  0.307D-01  0.307D-01
                        -0.0288    0.0051    0.0236
                        -0.0228    0.0041    0.0187

             SPEED-A   0.113D+01 -0.759D-01 -0.759D-01
                         0.0711   -0.0127   -0.0584
                         0.0371   -0.0066   -0.0304

             DIST-A   -0.545D-01  0.364D-02  0.364D-02
                        -0.0034    0.0006    0.0028
                         0.0000    0.0000    0.0000

             FREQ-A    0.606D-01 -0.405D-02 -0.405D-02
                         0.0038   -0.0007   -0.0031
                         0.0001    0.0000   -0.0001

 ----------------------------------------------------

 RAIL        CONSTANT  0.185D+02 -0.160D+01 -0.116D+01
                         1.1631   -0.2690   -0.8941
                         1.1631   -0.2690   -0.8941

             POP0014  -0.200D+00 -0.596D+01  0.132D+01
                        -0.0125   -1.0010    1.0135
                        -0.0941   -7.5125    7.6065

             POP5064  -0.884D+01 -0.115D+00  0.746D+00
                        -0.5545   -0.0194    0.5739
                        -3.2236   -0.1126    3.3362

             POPMALE  -0.106D+02  0.733D+01 -0.732D+00
                        -0.6667    1.2299   -0.5632
                        -1.4127    2.6062   -1.1935

             TOTEMPL  -0.838D+00  0.814D+00 -0.109D+00
                        -0.0526    0.1365   -0.0840
                        -0.1318    0.3425   -0.2106

             BUSINESS  0.145D+01 -0.506D+00 -0.769D-02
                         0.0908   -0.0849   -0.0059
                         0.3018   -0.2822   -0.0197

             PRIVATE  -0.162D+01 -0.119D+01  0.391D+00
                        -0.1017   -0.1993    0.3011
                        -0.2035   -0.3988    0.6023

             PRICE-R   0.618D-02 -0.306D-01  0.618D-02
                         0.0004   -0.0051    0.0048
                         0.0006   -0.0079    0.0073

             SPEED-R  -0.595D-01  0.295D+00 -0.595D-01
                        -0.0037    0.0495   -0.0458
                        -0.0027    0.0354   -0.0327

             DIST-R    0.883D-02 -0.438D-01  0.883D-02
                         0.0006   -0.0073    0.0068
                         0.0000    0.0000    0.0000

             FREQ-R   -0.130D+00  0.643D+00 -0.130D+00
                        -0.0081    0.1079   -0.0998
                        -0.0001    0.0015   -0.0014

 ----------------------------------------------------

 CAR         POP0014  -0.200D+00 -0.596D+01  0.132D+01
                        -0.0125   -1.0010    1.0135
                        -0.0941   -7.5125    7.6065

             POP5064  -0.884D+01 -0.115D+00  0.746D+00
                        -0.5545   -0.0194    0.5739
                        -3.2236   -0.1126    3.3362

             POPMALE  -0.106D+02  0.733D+01 -0.732D+00
                        -0.6667    1.2299   -0.5632
                        -1.4127    2.6062   -1.1935

             TOTEMPL  -0.838D+00  0.814D+00 -0.109D+00
                        -0.0526    0.1365   -0.0840
                        -0.1318    0.3425   -0.2106

             BUSINESS  0.145D+01 -0.506D+00 -0.769D-02
                         0.0908   -0.0849   -0.0059
                         0.3018   -0.2822   -0.0197

             PRIVATE  -0.162D+01 -0.119D+01  0.391D+00
                        -0.1017   -0.1993    0.3011
                        -0.2035   -0.3988    0.6023

             PRICE-C   0.330D-01  0.330D-01 -0.989D-02
                         0.0021    0.0055   -0.0076
                         0.0031    0.0082   -0.0113

             SPEED-C  -0.393D+00 -0.393D+00  0.118D+00
                        -0.0247   -0.0660    0.0907
                        -0.0161   -0.0429    0.0590

             DIST-C    0.255D-01  0.255D-01 -0.765D-02
                         0.0016    0.0043   -0.0059
                         0.0000    0.0000    0.0000

 ----------------------------------------------------




marginal rate of substitution of cost(i) for variables  x(i,k) :

   -at the sample means of x

 ==============================================================================================================================

 alternative   cost           variable

 ==============================================================================================================================

 AIR           PRICE-A        CONSTANT  SPEED-A   DIST-A    FREQ-A    

                            -51.0083   -1.6251    0.0003   -0.0044

 RAIL          PRICE-R        CONSTANT  POP0014   POP5064   POPMALE   TOTEMPL   BUSINESS  PRIVATE   SPEED-R   DIST-R    FREQ-R    

                             33.8875  946.4098   14.1867 -328.3241  -43.1416   35.5468   50.2382   -4.4587    0.0018   -0.1906

 CAR           PRICE-C        POP0014   POP5064   POPMALE   TOTEMPL   BUSINESS  PRIVATE   SPEED-C   DIST-C    

                           -673.2819 -295.2987  105.6393   18.6429    1.7421  -53.3143   -5.2224    0.0011

 ==============================================================================================================================


CPU TIME:      5.30 sec
